Telos Circle
Telos Circle
Vienna-based nonprofit fostering interdisciplinary innovation across science, technology and entrepreneurship. Home of the WAISS.
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Peter Wimberger

@topsrek
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Intercortex, Machine Literacy
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Agenda

Tonight

01AI recap of the month20 min
02Show & Tell · short talks[xx min]
03Open round & questionsopen end
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Slides & website

waiss.teloscircle.com

Tonight’s slides, past and upcoming editions.
Website
waiss.teloscircle.com

Want to present something next time?

GitHubOpen a pull request on github.com/topsrek/waiss
or email events@teloscircle.com
HTML preferred · PPT and PDF work too
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Releases · Meta · 09 Nov

Muse Ember

Artificial Analysis@ArtificialAnlys
X
Meta’s newest model Muse Ember scores 36 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, matching Claude Haiku 5.5 (max) at a third of the Cost per Task
19:07 · 9 Nov 2026
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Releases · Meta

Muse Ember

Haiku-level, at a third of the cost
Intelligence IndexArtificial Analysis, max effort
Muse Ember
36
Claude Haiku 5.5
36
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
33
GLM-5.3-Flash
28
Cost per taskUSD per index task, lower is better
Muse Ember
$0.14
Claude Haiku 5.5
$0.41
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
$0.60
GLM-5.3-Flash
$0.58
Coding Agent IndexIn Muse Code / Claude Code / Codex
Muse Ember
46
Claude Haiku 5.5
37
GPT-6 Luna
31
$0.10 / $0.50 per 1M tokens in / out. Weak spot: knowledge (AA-Omniscience 21% vs. 35% for Haiku), it declines 64% of questions but hallucinates half as often. Source: x.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/2119854348587123007
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Releases · Anthropic

Fable 5.2

Claude@claudeai
X
Introducing Claude Fable 5.2 and Claude Mythos 5.2, designed to tackle the most daunting technical challenges.
19:57 · 9 Nov 2026
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Releases · Anthropic

Fable 5.2

Ahead almost everywhere, 20% cheaper than 5.1
FrontierSWE v2Agentic coding
Fable 5.2
69.9
GPT-6 Astra
65.5
Opus 5.5
62.3
Fable 5.1
56.3
Humanity’s Last ExamExpert questions, with tools
Fable 5.2
74.2
Opus 5.5
67.7
Fable 5.1
65.6
GPT-6 Astra
57.2
RoboDojo SimRobot control in simulation
Fable 5.2
64.9
Opus 5.5
39.4
GPT-6 Astra
29.8
Fable 5.1
27.6
Score in %, vendor-reported, highest effort per model. Gemini 4 Carbon leads AutomationBench (53.9 vs 51.4). Source: anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-2
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Benchmarks · Artificial Analysis

Fable 5.2

New #1 on the Intelligence Index
Claude Fable 5.2
65
Gemini 4 Carbon
60
Claude Opus 5.5
59
GPT-6 Astra
57
GPT-6.1 Sol
55
Claude Sonnet 5.5
54
Muse Wonder Full
50
Claude Fable 5.1
49
Index v5.0.1, measured independently, highest effort per model. Fable 5.1 → 5.2: +15 points in ten weeks. Source: artificialanalysis.ai, 10 Nov 2026
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Benchmarks · Epoch AI

Fable 5.2

Biggest jump of the year on Epoch’s Capabilities Index
140150160170180DEC 25MAR 26JUN 26SEP 26NOV 26GPT-5.2 Pro · 157GPT-5.5 Pro · 163Fable 5 · 164Fable 5.1 · 167GPT-6 Astra · 169Fable 5.2 · 174
Every model released since 10 Nov 2025; ink = new record on release, line = best model so far. Fable 5.2: 174 (90% CI 170–179), +5 over GPT-6 Astra. Source: epoch.ai/eci, eci_scores.csv of 10 Nov 2026
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Prices · USD per 1M tokens

Fable 5.2

2× Opus per token, cheaper per task
MODEL
LAB
INPUT
OUTPUT
COST / TASK*
Fable 5.2
Anthropic
$8.00
$40.00
$17.94
Opus 5.5
Anthropic
$4.00
$20.00
$24.77
Sonnet 5.5
Anthropic
$2.00
$10.00
$16.18
Haiku 5.5
Anthropic
$0.10
$0.50
$3.18
GPT-6 Astra
OpenAI
$10.00
$50.00
$21.28
GPT-6.1 Sol
OpenAI
$2.00
$10.00
$3.61
GPT-6.1 Terra
OpenAI
$1.00
$5.00
$2.94
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
DeepSeek
$0.30
$1.20
$0.66
Muse Ember
Meta
$0.10
$0.50
$0.15
List prices, standard tier, from the providers’ pages via artificialanalysis.ai, 10 Nov 2026. *Average cost of one Vals Index task (vals.ai, 9 Nov 2026): fewer tokens can beat a lower price.
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Benchmarks · Vals AI

Fable 5.2

#1 on the GDP-weighted Vals Index, at 72% of Opus’s cost
20%30%40%50%60%70%$0.1$0.3$1$3$10$30Fable 5.2 · 71.3%Opus 5.5 · 70.1%Gemini 4 Carbon · 70.5%GPT-6.1 Sol · 63.9%DeepSeek V4.1 Flash · 61.3%Muse Ember · 60.5%COST PER TASK, LOG SCALE →
Accuracy on agentic finance, coding, legal and tax tasks, weighted by each sector’s share of U.S. GDP; line = Pareto frontier, bars = ±1 standard error. Source: vals.ai/benchmarks/vals_index, v2.2 of 9 Nov 2026
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Benchmarks · Vals AI

Fable 5.2

Same accuracy as Opus 5.5, in half the time
MODEL
ACCURACY
COST / TASK
TOKENS / TASK
TIME / TASK
Fable 5.2
71.3%
$17.94
31.3M
43m 42s
Sonnet 5.5
70.9%
$16.18
78.6M
1h 26m
Gemini 4 Carbon
70.5%
$10.51
18.3M
47m 45s
Opus 5.5
70.1%
$24.77
59.5M
1h 25m
Gemini 4 Argon
69.4%
$13.37
23.3M
44m 58s
Muse Wonder Full
66.8%
$6.81
18.4M
59m 19s
GPT-6 Astra
65.0%
$21.28
8.1M
33m 39s
Vals Index leaderboard, top 7. The top four are within one standard error (±1.0 points) of each other. Source: vals.ai/benchmarks/vals_index, v2.2 of 9 Nov 2026
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Community

Fable 5.2

4.7× less compute than Opus 5.5
Dominik Scholz@dom_scholz
X
Opus 5.5 vs. Fable 5.2
waaaay quicker, almost 0-shot from fable
Fabulous
00:20 · 10 Nov 2026
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Opus 5.5

“For most coding and knowledge tasks, we recommend starting with Opus 5.5, our strongest daily driver.”

— @claudeai, 9 Nov 2026
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Releases
[03 Oct]

[Headline of the story]

[One sentence of context]
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Drama
[@]
[Name][@handle]
X
[The tweet, in full. Short enough to read from the back row.]
[10:42 · 3 Oct 2026]
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Drama
[@]
[Name][@handle]
X
[First tweet]
[10:42 · 3 Oct 2026]
[@]
[Name][@reply]
X
[The reply, or the other side of it]
[10:42 · 3 Oct 2026]
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News
[@]
[Name][@handle]
X
[Tweet text with a screenshot or chart attached.]
[Image / screenshot]
[10:42 · 3 Oct 2026]
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Roundup

[What changed in everyday work]

Releases[Item A][One sentence on why it matters]
News[Item B][One sentence on why it matters]
Drama[Item C][One sentence on why it matters]
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Number of the month

[73 %]

[What the number means, in one sentence]
Source: [link]
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Show & Tell

[Talk title]

[Name]
[Role · @handle]
[Screenshot / demo]
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[One sentence that sticks.]

— [Source]
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Open round

What surprised you this month?

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Discussion

Are the frontier labs pacing themselves?

1–3 Sep: all four labs ship22–30 Sep: againAnthropic13 releases9 new lab bestsOpenAI17 releases5 new lab bestsGoogle12 releases5 new lab bestsMeta6 releases5 new lab bestsDEC 25MAR 26JUN 26SEP 26NOV 26
Every model in Epoch’s list, 10 Nov 2025 – 10 Nov 2026; filled = new best of that lab. Since April, Anthropic has set a new lab best every 2–7 weeks. Source: epoch.ai/eci
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Discussion

Will OpenAI & Anthropic
still dominate in a year?

130140150160170Anthropic174 #1OpenAI169 −5Google167 −8Meta162 −12DEC 25MAR 26JUN 26SEP 26NOV 26
Best Epoch Capabilities Index score per lab. A year ago: Google −6, Meta −19. Not in Epoch yet: Gemini 4 Carbon, 0.9 points behind Fable 5.2 on the Vals Index. Source: epoch.ai/eci
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@SadAlbert10 on X

See you next time.

Telos Circle · Links
links.teloscircle.com
Discord
discord.gg/vjTeFrPsN
Slides · GitHub
github.com/topsrek/waiss
Want to present next time? Talk to Peter.
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